China opens access to Wikipedia

May 16th, 2008
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Chinese authorities appeared to have lifted a block on the English-language version of online encyclopedia Wikipedia, but politically sensitive topics such as Tibet and Tiananmen Square are still off limits.

Internet users in Beijing and Shanghai confirmed today they could access the English-language version of one of the world’s most popular websites, but the Chinese language version was still restricted.

While searches of random topics such as “Johann Sebastian Bach” and “dim sum” brought up English-language articles, sensitive words such as Tibet were met with a message that the browser was unable to connect to the internet.

The move comes after International Olympic Committee (IOC) inspectors told Beijing organisers that the internet must be open for the duration of the 2008 Olympics and that blocking it “would reflect very poorly” on the host country.

China’s government, keen to avoid sparking social discontent, keeps a tight watch over the media and often blocks or censors popular websites and forums where dissent may brew.

Wikipedia and Yahoo’s photo-sharing network Flickr have been periodically blocked before, while Google’s YouTube is often blocked during high-level political events in China.

Wikipedia, which is written collaboratively by volunteers, has more than two million articles in English.

These include politically sensitive subjects such as Tibet and Taiwan independence, the banned Falun Gong spiritual group and the bloodily suppressed pro-democracy protests of 1989.

REUTERS

SAP’s Q1 Results Lag Expectations, Hurt By Slow U.S. Market

May 15th, 2008
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SAP () disappointed investors Wednesday by reporting first-quarter revenue and software license sales that missed analyst estimates.

It also said a key software project has been delayed.

SAP, based in Walldorf, Germany, said net income fell 22% from the year-earlier quarter to 242 million euros, or $374 million at early Wednesday’s currency exchange rate. Excluding the write-down from its nearly $7 billion acquisition of business intelligence software maker Business Objects, SAP said profit rose 7% from a year ago.

Europe’s largest software maker said revenue rose 14% to 2.46 billion euros, or $3.83 billion.

The consensus estimate of 18 analysts polled by Thomson Reuters called for revenue of 2.46 billion euros, or $3.96 billion.

SAP reported software license revenue of 622 million euros, or $968.5 million.

That’s below the consensus analyst estimate of 679 million euros, or $1.06 billion, according to JMP Securities.

Software licenses, a key gauge of future service revenue and growth, were weakest in the U.S., down 2% when using a constant currency exchange rate.

The company cited dollar weakness against the euro as a factor hurting its performance, since much of its business comes from the U.S.

The company’s top executive also said the U.S. market was slow in general.

“(In) North America, it’s not a secret the market is tougher,” SAP Chief Executive Henning Kagermann said Wednesday in a conference call with analysts. “Customers are more cautious, and the deal size is lower than in past quarters.”

SAP’s U.S. stock fell as much as 5.4% on Thursday before ending the day down 4.2% at 50.23.

Archrival Oracle’s () shares also fell 4.2%.

SAP sells products and services worldwide, so the U.S. downturn shouldn’t be a big problem unless it starts bleeding into foreign markets, said Michael Nemeroff of Wedbush Morgan Securities. He rates SAP a hold.

“We’re a bit disappointed with the quarter, even though we expected the U.S. was going to be weak for SAP,” he said. “We will be more concerned if we see this slowdown spread into Europe.”

SAP said BusinessByDesign its largest development project to date has been delayed “to validate and fine-tune the solution.”

Its launch had been planned for this summer.

BusinessByDesign is intended as a low-cost, on-demand software service for small and midsize firms.

As a result of the setback, SAP said it would cut its investment in the project by 100 million euros, or $156 million, this year in order to expand operating margins. The delay caused SAP to extend its goal for broad adoption of BusinessByDesign by 12 to 18 months.

SAP had hoped to attract 10,000 customers and $1 billion in revenue from the project by 2010. Now it’s shooting for 2011 or 2012.

The company will sign up far fewer clients for the new service this year than the 1,000 or so it had expected, said JMP analyst Patrick Walravens. “Our due diligence suggests the number of customers is around 60 and that problems with multiple data models are hurting the BusinessByDesign solution,” he wrote in a note to investors.

He rates SAP as market underperform, or sell.

BusinessByDesign could turn out to be a key source of growth for SAP, said James Gilman of Cross Research. He rates the stock a hold.

SAP’s BusinessByDesign delay seems to be in order to offer a more feature-rich product, Gilman says.

“On the positive side, we’ll see a margin expansion this year because they will spend less on development costs,” he said. “This is a new initiative with growing pains, but we expect SAP to succeed with BusinessByDesign over time. It will just take longer.”

Handouts won’t halt foreign buying spree

May 15th, 2008
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The Bank of Nova Scotia would like to see less “hollowing out” of Corporate Canada.

We think.

But Rick Waugh, CEO of Scotiabank, argues in a recent op-ed in a competing paper that “more important than trying to prevent the loss of Canadian control, we need to focus on ensuring Canada has the right framework in place to support the growth of Canadian companies.”

And what is this “right framework”? No limits on foreign ownership for most industries. An acceptance of globalization, which, of course, has triggered the highest-profile losses of Canadian corporate icons. And this unsurprising assertion: “Markets, rather than government, should make business decisions.”

Sounds like the status quo to us, topped by a maddeningly vague insistence that Canada become more business-friendly in order, among other things, to “replace (companies) lost to global consolidation.”

Taxes could always be lower, red tape in less abundance, laws and regulations more harmonized among jurisdictions. But for all that, the Economist Intelligence Unit, a branch of the British business magazine, recently said Canada’s “business environment” is the best of its G-7 peers.

Not sure how many times we have to say this, but an allegedly punitive tax regime, bureaucratic impediments and jurisdictional disputes and every other “curative” we’ve heard for what ails Canadian business has nothing whatever to do with the loss of Hudson’s Bay Co., Inco Ltd., Falconbridge Ltd., Alcan Inc., ATI Technologies Inc. and our entire steel sector in the past year and a half.

The Bay was chronically mismanaged, even without necessarily unflattering comparisons with Wal-Mart Canada. Alcan hadn’t earned its cost of capital for years. ATI was distracted by an insider-trading scandal. These are (sadly) routine events in corporate life, which generally make companies vulnerable to takeover. No additional tax breaks or subsidies, the cost of which will be borne by the public, will arrest the cupidity that pushes a major firm like Molson Cos. into the arms of a Colorado-based Adolph Coors Co.

As for the well-run giants we’ve lost – conspicuously Dofasco Inc., one of the best-run steelmakers in the world under nearly a century of Canadian ownership – again, no amount of the “gimme, gimme” mantra of most business leaders would have stopped that company from falling prey to a very deep-pocketed foreign suitor obviously well-pleased with existing Canadian business conditions or the firm would not have been snapped up.

America, Britain and Germany have so many firms instrumental to their economies that even a sustained buying spree among foreigners would leave those nations with a prodigious number of global champions. Oddly enough, each of the aforementioned countries, just the same, is wary of foreign advances on their flagship companies.

It’s arguably too late to debate a made-in-Canada solution to retaining our economic sovereignty, given how little remains to protect. But let’s stop pretending that anything other than a government prohibition on selected takeovers, for failure to provide sufficient “net benefit to Canada,” as existing legislation requires, or the deployment of Canadian institutional investor funds to act as white knights when foreign buyers appear is going to stop curb the transformation of Canadian corporate headquarters into branch offices.

Fearless forecasts?

Fearless forecasts by Ben Bernanke, chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve, compiled by Merrill Lynch Inc. economist David Rosenberg in a recent client note:

Really? “The impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the subprime market seems likely to be contained.” – March 28

You’re sure? “We believe the effect of the troubles in the subprime sector on the broader housing market will likely be limited, and we do not expect significant spillover… to the rest of the economy or to the financial system.” – May 17

Well, that’s reassuring. “Fundamental factors – including solid growth in incomes and relatively low mortgage rates – should ultimately support the demand for housing, and at this point the troubles in the subprime sector seem unlikely to seriously spill over to the broader economy or the financial system.” – June 5, just before the onset of the global credit crunch.

Damage to date: The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development warns, in a report released Nov. 23, that global banks should brace for as much as $300 billion (U.S.) in mortgage losses, which could wreak further damage in equity markets, which already last week marked an official “correction” after dropping 10 per cent in recent months.

Signs of the times

Given the dearth of compelling new crime shows this season, compounded by the impact of the current writers’ strike on existing television shows, the New York Times counsels readers to turn to season-long DVDs of the Canadian series Da Vinci’s Inquest. “You’ve already watched so many shows that were filmed in Vancouver; isn’t it about time you watched one that’s set there, too?”

Jargon watch

colleague spam, n. Proliferation of emails from colleagues, expected to rise from the current average of 126 messages a day to 200 messages by decade’s end, the management of which is forecast to consume 41 per cent of recipients’ time by that point.

“Inboxes are bulging today,” reports the Wall Street Journal, “partly because of what some are calling `colleague spam’ – that is, too many people are indiscriminately hitting the `reply to all’ button or copying too many people on trivial messages, like inviting 100 colleagues to partake of brownies in the kitchen.”

Between the covers

Author Thomas Homer-Dixon’s The Upside of Down: Catastrophe, Creativity, and the Renewal of Civilization captured this year’s National Business Book Award. Homer-Dixon argues that a convergence of energy, environmental and geopolitical crises could cause a breakdown in the global order.

We invite readers to propose candidates for best business book of all time, the results to appear in a future Lookahead. Tell us what you think of unheralded tomes or such favourites as Charles Mackay’s Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds; Peter C. Newman’s The Canadian Establishment; Bryan Burrough and John Helyar’s Barbarians at the Gate: The Fall of RJR Nabisco; Jim Collins’s Good to Great: Why Some Companies Make the Leap… And Others Don’t; Dante Alighieri’s Divine Comedy (Inferno, Purgatory, Paradise); and Lemony Snicket’s A Series of Unfortunate Events (13 volumes).

This day in history

Born this date in 1857, this Polish-born British novelist wrote Heart of Darkness. (Answer, reverse: Darnoc Hpesoj.)

Quotable tycoon

“The economic position of the U.S. is not viewed the same. The focus of attention has migrated away from the U.S. as the primary market, to China and India, where people see future growth. We are at a point where the globe has tilted, and it is tilted to the east, given the massive growth that is going on in China and India and the surrounding countries.”

– Sol Trujillo, CEO of Telstra Corp., the dominant Australian telecom, on being an American working outside the U.S., interviewed in the U.K. Financial Times, Nov. 23.

Adobe Axes Flash Licensing Fee It Charged Cell Phone Makers

May 15th, 2008
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Adobe Systems () hopes to spread the use of its Flash animation and video software on mobile phones by making it free for device makers.

Adobe has charged cell phone makers roughly 25 cents per unit to install Flash software. But on Thursday the San Jose, Calif., company is set to announce that it’s getting rid of those licensing fees.

Adobe is also taking other steps designed to spread the use of its Flash software, which among other things is used to display much of the video on the Web. The steps will reveal more of the inner workings of Flash, so developers can more easily develop Flash applications and use the software to maximum effect. Adobe is removing all restrictions on the file formats for Flash animation and video.

Adobe’s announcements are part of the Open Screen Project, an effort supported by a group of tech companies. The project’s goal is to drive “rich” Internet experiences such as graphical and video content across personal computers, mobile devices, consumer electronics and TVs. It will take advantage of Adobe’s Flash player and AIR platform to enable a consistent “run-time” environment. That is, it will let many types of applications run over many types of devices, on many different operating systems.

Open Screen backers include ARM, () Chunghwa Telecom, () Intel, () LG Electronics, Marvell Technology, () Motorola, () Nokia, () NTT DoCoMo, () Qualcomm, () Samsung, Sony Ericsson and Toshiba.

“The mobile industry is stalled because there isn’t a consistent way to deploy applications and to browse for content,” said Gary Kovacs, general manager and vice president for mobile and devices at Adobe. “We see a unique opportunity to stimulate that to grow.”

The most significant change for Adobe is making its Flash player software free for mobile device makers. The company wants to bring its mobile strategy in line with its personal computer strategy, Kovacs says.

While Adobe will distribute its Flash player for free, it will make money by selling software developer tools, server software and services, Kovacs says. “As the platform becomes more ubiquitous across more devices in the mobile ecosystem, there’s more demand for all of those things,” he said.

By offering free Flash, Adobe hopes to remove barriers for developers and designers as they publish content and applications across desktops and devices such as cell phones and set-top boxes.

The Open Screen Project looks to enable the run-time technology on mobile devices to be updated seamlessly over the air.

The first devices to use the Open Screen approach will be available in 2009, Kovacs says.

Adobe’s Flash player is on more than 98% of Internet-enabled PCs. Flash technology delivers interactivity, video and applications over the Internet.

While Flash is on more than 500 million handsets and mobile devices, that’s still a small percentage of the devices in use, Kovacs says. Adobe expects Flash to ship with another 500 million devices by 2009.

Eliminating the licensing fees for Flash should spur greater adoption, says Kovacs. The per-unit fee for Flash was small, but it added up to a significant expense for mobile phone makers in large volumes.

By opening up the software to developers, Adobe will no longer have to work so closely with device makers to port Flash onto specific devices. Those manufacturers can do that work themselves, Kovacs says. And Adobe can deploy its engineering resources elsewhere.

Some content providers are supporting the Open Screen Project. They include BBC, MTV Networks and NBC Universal. They all want to deliver rich content across a variety of devices.

Chinese Earthquake Disaster Won’t Disrupt U.S. Tech Manufacturing Lines, Firms Say

May 15th, 2008
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IBM, () Intel () and other U.S. tech companies with facilities in the Sichuan province, epicenter of China’s 7.9- magnitude earthquake Monday, reported no injuries and little damage.

The quake killed more than 12,000 people and leveled more than 3.46 million homes, Chinese news agency Xinhua said Tuesday.

Despite the tragic loss of life, tech analysts and representatives for U.S. tech companies said they see little impact on U.S. high-tech firms.

“The main manufacturing stuff is still on the East Coast of China,” said IDC analyst Michael Palma. “The effects of the quake were focused in Sichuan, in the west central area of China. As a result, I don’t expect any major follow-on effects on U.S. high tech.”

Palma noted that manufacturing is expanding from China’s East Coast to the Western and Central provinces. If the earthquake had happened five or 10 years from now, he said, it might have had a bigger impact on tech operations.

Intel, the world’s biggest chipmaker, has a chip test and assembly plant at Chengdu, just 55 miles south of the quake’s epicenter. Spokesman Chuck Mulloy said the company shut down operations temporarily while it makes a full assessment of any possible damages.

He said inventory at the site, in the capital of Sichuan province, was undamaged. Intel doesn’t expect any delays in shipments or impact to its bottom line.

Intel employs about 1,600 people at the site. Mulloy said the facility was built to U.S. earthquake standards. The factory was fully staffed, he said, and about 750 people were working in the complex when the temblor struck at 2:28 p.m. local time on Monday. That was 2:28 a.m. EDT.

“There were no injuries to employees at the plant or to Intel employees who were traveling at the time,” Mulloy said. “When the earthquake struck we evacuated the building. As a precaution, initially we cut off all power and water to the building.”

Inspection Under Way

Intel has brought in a seismic engineer to inspect the facility.

“We build to fairly strict construction standards,” he said. “Case in point: we won’t go back in until we have a qualified engineer inspect the site.”

Mulloy said there was minor damage to ceiling tiles. He said Chinese authorities responded quickly and Intel hopes to have the plant up and running by Friday.

“That’s assuming the seismic inspection goes fine and local infrastructure continues to improve as it has the last 24 hours,” Mulloy said Tuesday. “The airport is up and running, and congestion on roads was cleared.”

Intel has another test and assembly facility in Pudong. That’s near Shanghai on the East Coast, more than 1,000 miles away from the quake. It also has factories in Malaysia, the Philippines and Costa Rica.

In 2007, Intel broke ground on its first full-fledged chip factory in China. The plant is in Dalian, hundreds of miles north of the epicenter of Monday’s quake. Intel expects the project will cost about $2.5 billion. It will make chips on 300-millimeter, state-of-the-art silicon wafers starting in 2010, the company says.

Intel rival Advanced Micro Devices () has a test and assembly plant in the city of Suzhou, about 600 miles east of the epicenter. The plant was closed for inspection.

“Nobody was hurt and there was no damage,” AMD spokesman Eric Deritis said. “All the employees at that building worked from home today (Tuesday) because they have not safety-inspected the building yet.”

Applied Materials, () the world’s biggest chip equipment maker, has about 400 employees in China. Its biggest facility is a research center, including a solar panel laboratory, in Xian in central China. That facility has been open about a year and employs 225 people, spokesman David Miller said.

‘Back To Work’

“We had a few ceiling tiles dislodge but all of our employees are safe,” Miller said. “We inspected the site and now they’re back to work.”

In second-quarter earnings out Tuesday, Applied met the Street’s forecast of 22 cents a share, off 24% from the same quarter last year. Sales fell 15% to $2.15 billion, but beat forecasts. The Street was looking for a 16% drop to $2.13 billion.

Meanwhile, IBM and contract manufacturer Flextronics () had similar stories to Intel, IBM and Applied. Flextronics said there were no injuries to employees and no damage to its facilities in China.

IBM employs about 13,000 people in China. It has sales offices but no factories. No employees were hurt, spokesman Fred McNeese said.

Applied donated $145,000 to the Red Cross of China to help with rescue efforts. AMD is providing $143,000 in relief funds.

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